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Terry,
Some people put decades in study of specific areas of art (say, Song Dynasty ceramics) and still not think they know what they need to know.
I know a Western antiques dealer who grew up very poor and in the 1960s was dazzled by gaudy Chinese and Japanese factory-made export wares for the same reasons that Westerners were amazed by them some 50-75 years before that. He was not happy to find that these items did not have much value to collectors of fine ceramics in more recent time.
A novice could be lucky, but more likely for the untrained to believe a good story.
Experienced dealers, curators and collectors have been fooled, or have not understood what they look at. It is learning experience.
If you are near a branch of famous auction house, you can invite to see the collection if you want to sell. They would be as eager to find a treasure as you.
Good luck
Cal
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